UK growth boosted by warmer weather

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The construction sector grew by 0.9% over the quarter

Economic growth in the UK picked up in the three months to June as construction and services were lifted by the warmer weather, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

The economy grew by 0.4% in the period, compared with a rate of 0.2% in the first quarter of the year.

However, the ONS added that underlying growth remained “modest”.

The ONS also said that the economy grew by 0.1% in June, down from a more robust 0.3% in the previous month.

The head of national accounts at the ONS, Rob Kent-Smith, said: “The economy picked up a little in the second quarter, with both retail sales and construction helped by the good weather and rebounding from the effects of the snow earlier in the year.

“However, manufacturing continued to fall back from its high point at the end of last year and underlying growth remained modest by historical standards.

“The UK’s trade deficit noticeably worsened, as exports of cars and planes declined sharply while imports rose.”

‘Declining trend’

The service sector – which accounts for nearly 80% of the UK economy – grew by 0.5% in the three-month period. Construction output jumped 0.9%, but industrial production fell 0.8% during the quarter.

The ONS also mentioned World Cup celebrations as a contributing factor.

However, it added: “Abstracting from these quarterly movements, the underlying trend in real GDP is one of slowing growth.

“The UK economy grew by 0.6% in the first half of 2018, compared with the second half of 2017 – continuing the declining trend seen since the second half of 2014.”

Nancy Curtin, chief investment officer at Close Brothers Asset Management, said: “A rebound in economic growth in the second quarter should be taken with a pinch of salt. Even with some acceleration, the economy is far from its peak.

“The rate of growth looks subdued in comparison to some global peers, with the US economy growing at twice the speed.

“There are a number of factors underpinning sluggish economic expansion; the EU, a major trading partner for the UK has also seen momentum slow and businesses continue to be hindered by Brexit uncertainty.”

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Suren Thiru, head of economics at the British Chambers of Commerce, said: “While there was a welcome uptick in GDP growth in the second quarter, the figures have been flattered somewhat by a very weak first quarter, and so does little to alter the UK’s lacklustre growth trajectory.

“There is little in the latest data to suggest a sustained upturn in the UK’s economic growth prospects, or evidence to corroborate the [Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee’s] decision to raise interest rates.”

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